63
across all surfaces
31
anomalies + strategic
6/6
S1-S6
64
Merkle-chained

S1 · Margin Watch (8 flagged of 40 total)

S1 Margin Watch · TA3364 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $127,453 is 3.0σ above baseline $21,139 on BOS-MIA (B787-9). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA3364
BOS → MIA
N578TA
$21,139
$127,453
+3.01σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$199,2298e003e0a8eb75a4b…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$5,77534cb4600afa130ae…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$1,598d9f9d94295e2c3db…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Fuel Costcost$-40,1232a0069e61c6ee86b…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Crew Costcost$-971b34045126229e9f6…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Mx Costcost$-1,53074e044994b584eaa…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Airport Costcost$-3,077c29e99067d1eebd3…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Distribution Costcost$-12,096552cd1881e2f9cda…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-21,351ab918d488b70d37d…d1ed9797be3a083e…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA3364",
  "origin": "BOS",
  "destination": "MIA",
  "tail_number": "N578TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "21138.9217241379301412962377071380615234375",
  "actual_margin_usd": "127453.15",
  "deviation_sigma": 3.0091715918607402,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 3.0091715918607402,
  "narrative": "Margin $127,453 is 3.0σ above baseline $21,139 on BOS-MIA (B787-9). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "199228.55",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "5774.68",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "1598.30",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-40123.03",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-971.13",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1529.57",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3077.45",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-12095.77",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-21351.43",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "127453.15",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.023221"
}
decision_id: 2776974f-778d-42dd-830c-ef8ae3c3e5d3 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA7985 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $137,180 is 2.9σ above baseline $34,751 on DEN-LAX (B787-9). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA7985
DEN → LAX
N241TA
$34,751
$137,180
+2.90σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$194,9648e003e0a8eb75a4b…213bc5b07e262140…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$7,30934cb4600afa130ae…213bc5b07e262140…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$705d9f9d94295e2c3db…213bc5b07e262140…
Fuel Costcost$-27,6052a0069e61c6ee86b…213bc5b07e262140…
Crew Costcost$-814b34045126229e9f6…213bc5b07e262140…
Mx Costcost$-1,25374e044994b584eaa…213bc5b07e262140…
Airport Costcost$-3,159c29e99067d1eebd3…213bc5b07e262140…
Distribution Costcost$-13,304552cd1881e2f9cda…213bc5b07e262140…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-19,663ab918d488b70d37d…213bc5b07e262140…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA7985",
  "origin": "DEN",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "N241TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "34750.57655172413797117769718170166015625",
  "actual_margin_usd": "137179.52",
  "deviation_sigma": 2.8992005285415097,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 2.8992005285415097,
  "narrative": "Margin $137,180 is 2.9σ above baseline $34,751 on DEN-LAX (B787-9). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "194963.77",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "7308.71",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "705.15",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-27605.11",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-814.11",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1252.92",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3158.74",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-13304.05",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-19663.18",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "137179.52",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.023998"
}
decision_id: 8f152e6b-b6e1-4da3-8db3-c8e75a70d260 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA9924 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $92,508 is 1.6σ above baseline $34,751 on DEN-LAX (A321neo). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA9924
DEN → LAX
N739TA
$34,751
$92,508
+1.63σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$133,6788e003e0a8eb75a4b…398535efc51149a5…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$3,62234cb4600afa130ae…398535efc51149a5…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$273d9f9d94295e2c3db…398535efc51149a5…
Fuel Costcost$-18,2192a0069e61c6ee86b…398535efc51149a5…
Crew Costcost$-688b34045126229e9f6…398535efc51149a5…
Mx Costcost$-1,52774e044994b584eaa…398535efc51149a5…
Airport Costcost$-2,464c29e99067d1eebd3…398535efc51149a5…
Distribution Costcost$-6,027552cd1881e2f9cda…398535efc51149a5…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-16,141ab918d488b70d37d…398535efc51149a5…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA9924",
  "origin": "DEN",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "N739TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "34750.57655172413797117769718170166015625",
  "actual_margin_usd": "92507.78",
  "deviation_sigma": 1.6347890462121082,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.6347890462121082,
  "narrative": "Margin $92,508 is 1.6σ above baseline $34,751 on DEN-LAX (A321neo). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "133678.04",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "3621.98",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "273.40",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-18218.54",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-688.40",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1526.96",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2463.94",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-6027.16",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-16140.64",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "398535efc51149a5342746e3e6c99201d8a7eabb5cc8432213d09fc637db128d",
        "underlying_record_key": "N739TA::TA9924",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "92507.78",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.024326"
}
decision_id: c1539f3f-ad41-4d2e-9950-387478de9008 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA4740 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $-4,401 is 1.4σ below baseline $44,556 on MCO-LGA (A320-200). Drivers: fuel cost 82% of revenue.
TA4740
MCO → LGA
N925TA
$44,556
$-4,401
-1.39σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$20,8568e003e0a8eb75a4b…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$4,67634cb4600afa130ae…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$301d9f9d94295e2c3db…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Fuel Costcost$-21,2662a0069e61c6ee86b…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Crew Costcost$-715b34045126229e9f6…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Mx Costcost$-1,39374e044994b584eaa…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Airport Costcost$-2,418c29e99067d1eebd3…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Distribution Costcost$-1,496552cd1881e2f9cda…1171e5c527ce4d53…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-2,947ab918d488b70d37d…1171e5c527ce4d53…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA4740",
  "origin": "MCO",
  "destination": "LGA",
  "tail_number": "N925TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "44556.19111111111124046146869659423828125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "-4401.46",
  "deviation_sigma": -1.3857220742412464,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.3857220742412464,
  "narrative": "Margin $-4,401 is 1.4σ below baseline $44,556 on MCO-LGA (A320-200). Drivers: fuel cost 82% of revenue.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "20856.01",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "4675.59",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "301.09",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-21265.55",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-715.07",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1393.09",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2418.20",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1495.55",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2946.69",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "1171e5c527ce4d5307870480571cdae636645ef8f170f5ced82163c7da9bd21a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N925TA::TA4740",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "-4401.46",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.023549"
}
decision_id: 6977caa8-63ae-4d36-b2a6-516dc32c058f constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA6500 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $67,557 is 1.3σ above baseline $20,315 on ORD-DFW (A320-200). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA6500
ORD → DFW
N517TA
$20,315
$67,557
+1.34σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$102,9208e003e0a8eb75a4b…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$3,31234cb4600afa130ae…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$553d9f9d94295e2c3db…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Fuel Costcost$-18,0272a0069e61c6ee86b…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Crew Costcost$-614b34045126229e9f6…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Mx Costcost$-1,27574e044994b584eaa…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Airport Costcost$-2,560c29e99067d1eebd3…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Distribution Costcost$-5,295552cd1881e2f9cda…3e8512a2a80456f4…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-11,458ab918d488b70d37d…3e8512a2a80456f4…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA6500",
  "origin": "ORD",
  "destination": "DFW",
  "tail_number": "N517TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "20315.44368421052422490902245044708251953125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "67556.54",
  "deviation_sigma": 1.3371358406794405,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.3371358406794405,
  "narrative": "Margin $67,557 is 1.3σ above baseline $20,315 on ORD-DFW (A320-200). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "102919.95",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "3312.28",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "553.01",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-18027.13",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-614.41",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1274.99",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2559.53",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-5295.12",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-11457.52",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "3e8512a2a80456f433e4476ba783adaa442f9f4601c6395aea0bdfcad68552a6",
        "underlying_record_key": "N517TA::TA6500",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "67556.54",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.023662"
}
decision_id: 324af5ad-fc1b-4883-bc57-cf5d3b376f73 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA9533 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $91,783 is 1.3σ above baseline $44,556 on MCO-LGA (B737-MAX8). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA9533
MCO → LGA
N234TA
$44,556
$91,783
+1.34σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$131,6948e003e0a8eb75a4b…d15782e7a2797715…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$5,77534cb4600afa130ae…d15782e7a2797715…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$244d9f9d94295e2c3db…d15782e7a2797715…
Fuel Costcost$-18,3542a0069e61c6ee86b…d15782e7a2797715…
Crew Costcost$-665b34045126229e9f6…d15782e7a2797715…
Mx Costcost$-1,21474e044994b584eaa…d15782e7a2797715…
Airport Costcost$-2,578c29e99067d1eebd3…d15782e7a2797715…
Distribution Costcost$-9,896552cd1881e2f9cda…d15782e7a2797715…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-13,222ab918d488b70d37d…d15782e7a2797715…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA9533",
  "origin": "MCO",
  "destination": "LGA",
  "tail_number": "N234TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "44556.19111111111124046146869659423828125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "91782.53",
  "deviation_sigma": 1.3367181390178813,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.3367181390178813,
  "narrative": "Margin $91,783 is 1.3σ above baseline $44,556 on MCO-LGA (B737-MAX8). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "131694.03",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "5774.89",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "243.75",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-18354.49",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-665.09",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1213.64",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2578.11",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-9896.50",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-13222.31",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "91782.53",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.024238"
}
decision_id: 0d1dd5ab-3afc-4c38-8146-ddb7d3e534e8 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA8873 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $65,097 is 1.3σ above baseline $20,315 on ORD-DFW (B737-MAX8). Drivers: no single dominant driver.
TA8873
ORD → DFW
N809TA
$20,315
$65,097
+1.27σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$99,3128e003e0a8eb75a4b…23687c81eef22c78…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$4,96934cb4600afa130ae…23687c81eef22c78…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$325d9f9d94295e2c3db…23687c81eef22c78…
Fuel Costcost$-15,6982a0069e61c6ee86b…23687c81eef22c78…
Crew Costcost$-661b34045126229e9f6…23687c81eef22c78…
Mx Costcost$-1,05574e044994b584eaa…23687c81eef22c78…
Airport Costcost$-2,911c29e99067d1eebd3…23687c81eef22c78…
Distribution Costcost$-7,747552cd1881e2f9cda…23687c81eef22c78…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-11,436ab918d488b70d37d…23687c81eef22c78…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA8873",
  "origin": "ORD",
  "destination": "DFW",
  "tail_number": "N809TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "20315.44368421052422490902245044708251953125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "65097.29",
  "deviation_sigma": 1.267527987080754,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.267527987080754,
  "narrative": "Margin $65,097 is 1.3σ above baseline $20,315 on ORD-DFW (B737-MAX8). Drivers: no single dominant driver.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "99311.53",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "4968.59",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "325.33",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-15698.23",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-660.91",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1055.03",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2910.76",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-7747.23",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-11436.00",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "23687c81eef22c78377725676e7e9a75835b67ad557ebb4cf7b19daaa1e33c0a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N809TA::TA8873",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "65097.29",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.024070"
}
decision_id: e9324868-e6e2-4aa1-a8a4-4c7c14cc79e6 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S1 Margin Watch · TA7041 MarginCoordinator 2026-05-24
Margin $2,314 is 1.0σ below baseline $38,079 on SFO-SEA (A320-200). Drivers: fuel cost 61% of revenue.
TA7041
SFO → SEA
N228TA
$38,079
$2,314
-1.01σ

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$22,2288e003e0a8eb75a4b…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$2,81934cb4600afa130ae…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$672d9f9d94295e2c3db…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Fuel Costcost$-15,7672a0069e61c6ee86b…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Crew Costcost$-621b34045126229e9f6…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Mx Costcost$-91674e044994b584eaa…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Airport Costcost$-2,291c29e99067d1eebd3…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Distribution Costcost$-1,360552cd1881e2f9cda…74bf95e510b27fc0…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-2,449ab918d488b70d37d…74bf95e510b27fc0…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S1",
  "coordinator_name": "MarginCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA7041",
  "origin": "SFO",
  "destination": "SEA",
  "tail_number": "N228TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "38078.56514285714365541934967041015625",
  "actual_margin_usd": "2314.02",
  "deviation_sigma": -1.0122977421277253,
  "title": "",
  "summary": "",
  "impact_usd": "0",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.0122977421277253,
  "narrative": "Margin $2,314 is 1.0σ below baseline $38,079 on SFO-SEA (A320-200). Drivers: fuel cost 61% of revenue.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "22228.12",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "2819.34",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "671.56",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-15767.16",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-621.38",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-915.75",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2291.33",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1360.45",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2448.93",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "74bf95e510b27fc08479d23733e5ca6143663846b7fc7fac7e49f64171e15804",
        "underlying_record_key": "N228TA::TA7041",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "2314.02",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.023745"
}
decision_id: 9d5e0241-5ba4-49a2-a793-cc3c5259b1d0 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair

S2 · Cost Control (8 flagged of 8 total)

S2 Crew Cost anomaly on JFK-LHR CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever crew cost deviation 4.4σ on flight TA1390 (JFK-LHR, A321neo). 3 cost line(s) flagged.

crew cost is 4.4σ above population mean. Actual $1,563 vs baseline $742.

TA1390
JFK → LHR
N926TA
$742
$1,563
+4.39σ
+$821
0y
4.39

Recommended levers

reduce reserve crew
Reduce reserve crew at hub by 2 pilots — premium pay savings $X, reliability cost $Y
+$281 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$56,8038e003e0a8eb75a4b…e436dea71416cf0a…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$3,49534cb4600afa130ae…e436dea71416cf0a…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$1,099d9f9d94295e2c3db…e436dea71416cf0a…
Fuel Costcost$-52,1552a0069e61c6ee86b…e436dea71416cf0a…
Crew Costcost$-1,183b34045126229e9f6…e436dea71416cf0a…
Mx Costcost$-2,90074e044994b584eaa…e436dea71416cf0a…
Airport Costcost$-3,007c29e99067d1eebd3…e436dea71416cf0a…
Distribution Costcost$-4,307552cd1881e2f9cda…e436dea71416cf0a…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-6,531ab918d488b70d37d…e436dea71416cf0a…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA1390",
  "origin": "JFK",
  "destination": "LHR",
  "tail_number": "N926TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "742.1847500000000081854523159563541412353515625",
  "actual_margin_usd": "1562.740000000000009094947017729282379150390625",
  "deviation_sigma": 4.392867812750162,
  "title": "Crew Cost anomaly on JFK-LHR",
  "summary": "crew cost is 4.4σ above population mean. Actual $1,563 vs baseline $742.",
  "impact_usd": "820.5552500000000009094947017729282379150390625",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "reduce_reserve_crew",
      "detail": "Reduce reserve crew at hub by 2 pilots — premium pay savings $X, reliability cost $Y",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 281.2932
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 4.392867812750162,
  "narrative": "Cost lever crew cost deviation 4.4σ on flight TA1390 (JFK-LHR, A321neo). 3 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "56803.03",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "3495.03",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "1099.25",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-52155.41",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1183.11",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2899.64",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3006.69",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-4306.56",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-6530.85",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "-8684.95",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.400807"
}
decision_id: 49069d2f-a60e-4b6b-8e78-28d65082eace constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Mx Cost anomaly on DFW-LAX CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever mx cost deviation 4.0σ on flight TA7159 (DFW-LAX, B737-MAX8). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

mx cost is 4.0σ above population mean. Actual $6,637 vs baseline $1,659.

TA7159
DFW → LAX
N313TA
$1,659
$6,637
+4.04σ
+$4,978
0y
4.04

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant mx cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$1,460 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$84,1308e003e0a8eb75a4b…f4425572902880ce…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$4,22234cb4600afa130ae…f4425572902880ce…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$1,378d9f9d94295e2c3db…f4425572902880ce…
Fuel Costcost$-23,5482a0069e61c6ee86b…f4425572902880ce…
Crew Costcost$-750b34045126229e9f6…f4425572902880ce…
Mx Costcost$-6,63774e044994b584eaa…f4425572902880ce…
Airport Costcost$-3,073c29e99067d1eebd3…f4425572902880ce…
Distribution Costcost$-6,798552cd1881e2f9cda…f4425572902880ce…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-8,969ab918d488b70d37d…f4425572902880ce…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA7159",
  "origin": "DFW",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "N313TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "1659.427249999999958163243718445301055908203125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "6637.0699999999997089616954326629638671875",
  "deviation_sigma": 4.039821113501401,
  "title": "Mx Cost anomaly on DFW-LAX",
  "summary": "mx cost is 4.0σ above population mean. Actual $6,637 vs baseline $1,659.",
  "impact_usd": "4977.6427499999999781721271574497222900390625",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant mx cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1460.1553999999999
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 4.039821113501401,
  "narrative": "Cost lever mx cost deviation 4.0σ on flight TA7159 (DFW-LAX, B737-MAX8). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "84130.13",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "4222.38",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "1377.94",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-23548.27",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-749.70",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-6637.07",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3072.73",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-6798.17",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-8969.14",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "f4425572902880ceb7e6dda55cdf1e56025d1e25eb921624c22d576f2b9eda24",
        "underlying_record_key": "N313TA::TA7159",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "39955.37",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.401037"
}
decision_id: 563a04d8-3016-4aee-ae32-ee532d2e1f16 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Mx Cost anomaly on ORD-DFW CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever mx cost deviation 3.3σ on flight TA4605 (ORD-DFW, A320-200). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

mx cost is 3.3σ above population mean. Actual $5,696 vs baseline $1,659.

TA4605
ORD → DFW
N213TA
$1,659
$5,696
+3.28σ
+$4,037
0y
3.28

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant mx cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$1,253 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$18,6588e003e0a8eb75a4b…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$2,26334cb4600afa130ae…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$847d9f9d94295e2c3db…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Fuel Costcost$-16,0032a0069e61c6ee86b…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Crew Costcost$-689b34045126229e9f6…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Mx Costcost$-5,69674e044994b584eaa…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Airport Costcost$-2,590c29e99067d1eebd3…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Distribution Costcost$-1,203552cd1881e2f9cda…f4b822bb748cfbda…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-2,286ab918d488b70d37d…f4b822bb748cfbda…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA4605",
  "origin": "ORD",
  "destination": "DFW",
  "tail_number": "N213TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "1659.427249999999958163243718445301055908203125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "5696.2799999999997453414835035800933837890625",
  "deviation_sigma": 3.2762823269199446,
  "title": "Mx Cost anomaly on ORD-DFW",
  "summary": "mx cost is 3.3σ above population mean. Actual $5,696 vs baseline $1,659.",
  "impact_usd": "4036.852750000000014551915228366851806640625",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant mx cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1253.1816
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 3.2762823269199446,
  "narrative": "Cost lever mx cost deviation 3.3σ on flight TA4605 (ORD-DFW, A320-200). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "18657.59",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "2263.25",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "847.28",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-16002.53",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-688.92",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-5696.28",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2589.52",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1202.68",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2286.25",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "f4b822bb748cfbdafd35ca380787a9a5112818ea85b8191d86064d8c5a535f6a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N213TA::TA4605",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "-6698.06",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.400990"
}
decision_id: a28eb5ad-8f5e-46a7-b81d-b6c21851c023 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Distribution Cost anomaly on DEN-LAX CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever distribution cost deviation 3.2σ on flight TA7985 (DEN-LAX, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

distribution cost is 3.2σ above population mean. Actual $13,304 vs baseline $4,029.

TA7985
DEN → LAX
N241TA
$4,029
$13,304
+3.17σ
+$9,275
0y
3.17

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$2,927 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$194,9648e003e0a8eb75a4b…213bc5b07e262140…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$7,30934cb4600afa130ae…213bc5b07e262140…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$705d9f9d94295e2c3db…213bc5b07e262140…
Fuel Costcost$-27,6052a0069e61c6ee86b…213bc5b07e262140…
Crew Costcost$-814b34045126229e9f6…213bc5b07e262140…
Mx Costcost$-1,25374e044994b584eaa…213bc5b07e262140…
Airport Costcost$-3,159c29e99067d1eebd3…213bc5b07e262140…
Distribution Costcost$-13,304552cd1881e2f9cda…213bc5b07e262140…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-19,663ab918d488b70d37d…213bc5b07e262140…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA7985",
  "origin": "DEN",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "N241TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "4028.910499999999956344254314899444580078125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "13304.04999999999927240423858165740966796875",
  "deviation_sigma": 3.171579510016548,
  "title": "Distribution Cost anomaly on DEN-LAX",
  "summary": "distribution cost is 3.2σ above population mean. Actual $13,304 vs baseline $4,029.",
  "impact_usd": "9275.139499999999316059984266757965087890625",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 2926.891
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 3.171579510016548,
  "narrative": "Cost lever distribution cost deviation 3.2σ on flight TA7985 (DEN-LAX, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "194963.77",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "7308.71",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "705.15",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-27605.11",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-814.11",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1252.92",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3158.74",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-13304.05",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-19663.18",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "213bc5b07e26214061d76780ffe9fac5b06ad9701b0fc3bed307a6be6ded231a",
        "underlying_record_key": "N241TA::TA7985",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "137179.52",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.401073"
}
decision_id: fd9a5a05-2922-4366-991d-d9c3cbbbd29a constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Distribution Cost anomaly on BOS-MIA CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever distribution cost deviation 2.8σ on flight TA3364 (BOS-MIA, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

distribution cost is 2.8σ above population mean. Actual $12,096 vs baseline $4,029.

TA3364
BOS → MIA
N578TA
$4,029
$12,096
+2.76σ
+$8,067
0y
2.76

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$2,661 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$199,2298e003e0a8eb75a4b…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$5,77534cb4600afa130ae…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$1,598d9f9d94295e2c3db…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Fuel Costcost$-40,1232a0069e61c6ee86b…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Crew Costcost$-971b34045126229e9f6…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Mx Costcost$-1,53074e044994b584eaa…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Airport Costcost$-3,077c29e99067d1eebd3…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Distribution Costcost$-12,096552cd1881e2f9cda…d1ed9797be3a083e…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-21,351ab918d488b70d37d…d1ed9797be3a083e…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA3364",
  "origin": "BOS",
  "destination": "MIA",
  "tail_number": "N578TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "4028.910499999999956344254314899444580078125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "12095.77000000000043655745685100555419921875",
  "deviation_sigma": 2.7584152562214657,
  "title": "Distribution Cost anomaly on BOS-MIA",
  "summary": "distribution cost is 2.8σ above population mean. Actual $12,096 vs baseline $4,029.",
  "impact_usd": "8066.859500000000480213202536106109619140625",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 2661.0694000000003
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 2.7584152562214657,
  "narrative": "Cost lever distribution cost deviation 2.8σ on flight TA3364 (BOS-MIA, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "199228.55",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "5774.68",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "1598.30",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-40123.03",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-971.13",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1529.57",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3077.45",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-12095.77",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-21351.43",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "d1ed9797be3a083ebbeaad2b2e3983cb65b85a3ec9890b73b4878cd5169ef0f8",
        "underlying_record_key": "N578TA::TA3364",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "127453.15",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.400923"
}
decision_id: 869a5fd4-0223-496d-9f3f-21146af5633c constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Fuel Cost anomaly on JFK-LAX CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever fuel cost deviation 2.4σ on flight TA1390 (JFK-LAX, A321neo). 2 cost line(s) flagged.

fuel cost is 2.4σ above population mean. Actual $52,155 vs baseline $22,560.

TA1390
JFK → LAX
N749TA
$22,560
$52,155
+2.39σ
+$29,595
0y
2.39

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant fuel cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$11,474 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$56,8038e003e0a8eb75a4b…e436dea71416cf0a…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$3,49534cb4600afa130ae…e436dea71416cf0a…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$1,099d9f9d94295e2c3db…e436dea71416cf0a…
Fuel Costcost$-52,1552a0069e61c6ee86b…e436dea71416cf0a…
Crew Costcost$-1,183b34045126229e9f6…e436dea71416cf0a…
Mx Costcost$-2,90074e044994b584eaa…e436dea71416cf0a…
Airport Costcost$-3,007c29e99067d1eebd3…e436dea71416cf0a…
Distribution Costcost$-4,307552cd1881e2f9cda…e436dea71416cf0a…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-6,531ab918d488b70d37d…e436dea71416cf0a…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA1390",
  "origin": "JFK",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "N749TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "22560.0332500000004074536263942718505859375",
  "actual_margin_usd": "52155.41000000000349245965480804443359375",
  "deviation_sigma": 2.394419568997331,
  "title": "Fuel Cost anomaly on JFK-LAX",
  "summary": "fuel cost is 2.4σ above population mean. Actual $52,155 vs baseline $22,560.",
  "impact_usd": "29595.3767500000030850060284137725830078125",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant fuel cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 11474.190200000001
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 2.394419568997331,
  "narrative": "Cost lever fuel cost deviation 2.4σ on flight TA1390 (JFK-LAX, A321neo). 2 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "56803.03",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "3495.03",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "1099.25",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-52155.41",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1183.11",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2899.64",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3006.69",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-4306.56",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-6530.85",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "e436dea71416cf0a903ada12c0b97aa33ae1da65bc596afd77439ead6b795421",
        "underlying_record_key": "N749TA::TA1390",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "-8684.95",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.400879"
}
decision_id: 575faa75-9a8b-404c-a315-e96eed5d73ea constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Distribution Cost anomaly on MCO-LGA CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever distribution cost deviation 2.0σ on flight TA9533 (MCO-LGA, B737-MAX8). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

distribution cost is 2.0σ above population mean. Actual $9,896 vs baseline $4,029.

TA9533
MCO → LGA
N234TA
$4,029
$9,896
+2.01σ
+$5,868
0y
2.01

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$2,177 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$131,6948e003e0a8eb75a4b…d15782e7a2797715…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$5,77534cb4600afa130ae…d15782e7a2797715…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$244d9f9d94295e2c3db…d15782e7a2797715…
Fuel Costcost$-18,3542a0069e61c6ee86b…d15782e7a2797715…
Crew Costcost$-665b34045126229e9f6…d15782e7a2797715…
Mx Costcost$-1,21474e044994b584eaa…d15782e7a2797715…
Airport Costcost$-2,578c29e99067d1eebd3…d15782e7a2797715…
Distribution Costcost$-9,896552cd1881e2f9cda…d15782e7a2797715…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-13,222ab918d488b70d37d…d15782e7a2797715…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA9533",
  "origin": "MCO",
  "destination": "LGA",
  "tail_number": "N234TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "4028.910499999999956344254314899444580078125",
  "actual_margin_usd": "9896.5",
  "deviation_sigma": 2.0063877887106973,
  "title": "Distribution Cost anomaly on MCO-LGA",
  "summary": "distribution cost is 2.0σ above population mean. Actual $9,896 vs baseline $4,029.",
  "impact_usd": "5867.589500000000043655745685100555419921875",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant distribution cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 2177.23
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 2.0063877887106973,
  "narrative": "Cost lever distribution cost deviation 2.0σ on flight TA9533 (MCO-LGA, B737-MAX8). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "131694.03",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "5774.89",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "243.75",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-18354.49",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-665.09",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1213.64",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2578.11",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-9896.50",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-13222.31",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "d15782e7a279771591c610cee06257de9db7aa4dafaf59dcbd6822f93d8b33df",
        "underlying_record_key": "N234TA::TA9533",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "91782.53",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.401116"
}
decision_id: 52fe8bea-5946-4e68-9a79-42e3aab65973 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S2 Airport Cost anomaly on LGA-ORD CostCoordinator 2026-05-24
Cost lever airport cost deviation 1.7σ on flight TA3571 (LGA-ORD, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.

airport cost is 1.7σ above population mean. Actual $3,271 vs baseline $2,448.

TA3571
LGA → ORD
N217TA
$2,448
$3,271
+1.70σ
+$823
0y
1.70

Recommended levers

rotation restriction
Restrict deviant airport cost rotation pattern next cycle
+$720 estimated

PAL+ decomposition (9 lines · evidence_ref → Sense ledger)

LineSideUSDFormula hashEvidence (Sense)
Ticket Revenuerevenue$44,6888e003e0a8eb75a4b…523359d8d4d6776c…
Ancillary Revenueancillary$5,76234cb4600afa130ae…523359d8d4d6776c…
Cargo Revenuerevenue$448d9f9d94295e2c3db…523359d8d4d6776c…
Fuel Costcost$-25,7272a0069e61c6ee86b…523359d8d4d6776c…
Crew Costcost$-790b34045126229e9f6…523359d8d4d6776c…
Mx Costcost$-1,13274e044994b584eaa…523359d8d4d6776c…
Airport Costcost$-3,271c29e99067d1eebd3…523359d8d4d6776c…
Distribution Costcost$-2,025552cd1881e2f9cda…523359d8d4d6776c…
Overhead Allocatedcost$-4,835ab918d488b70d37d…523359d8d4d6776c…
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S2",
  "coordinator_name": "CostCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "TA3571",
  "origin": "LGA",
  "destination": "ORD",
  "tail_number": "N217TA",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "2448.03699999999980718712322413921356201171875",
  "actual_margin_usd": "3271.13999999999987267074175179004669189453125",
  "deviation_sigma": 1.7000570898336227,
  "title": "Airport Cost anomaly on LGA-ORD",
  "summary": "airport cost is 1.7σ above population mean. Actual $3,271 vs baseline $2,448.",
  "impact_usd": "823.1030000000000654836185276508331298828125",
  "horizon_years": 0,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "rotation_restriction",
      "detail": "Restrict deviant airport cost rotation pattern next cycle",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 719.6508
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.7000570898336227,
  "narrative": "Cost lever airport cost deviation 1.7σ on flight TA3571 (LGA-ORD, B787-9). 1 cost line(s) flagged.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696",
    "lines": [
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::ticket_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "44687.63",
        "formula_hash": "8e003e0a8eb75a4b794aa28ae8b9782b",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::ancillary_revenue",
        "side": "ancillary",
        "amount_usd": "5761.73",
        "formula_hash": "34cb4600afa130ae8c9290e05c5579d2",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::cargo_revenue",
        "side": "revenue",
        "amount_usd": "448.27",
        "formula_hash": "d9f9d94295e2c3dbc1808533badc6771",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::fuel_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-25727.31",
        "formula_hash": "2a0069e61c6ee86b065d9904ac1db756",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::crew_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-790.04",
        "formula_hash": "b34045126229e9f6d3c27e9e917f2718",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::mx_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-1132.06",
        "formula_hash": "74e044994b584eaa4bb3eff78f6a4788",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::airport_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-3271.14",
        "formula_hash": "c29e99067d1eebd3000981cce34a1928",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::distribution_cost",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-2024.54",
        "formula_hash": "552cd1881e2f9cda3798ce4b187b8dc0",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      },
      {
        "line_id": "e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696::overhead_allocated",
        "side": "cost",
        "amount_usd": "-4834.55",
        "formula_hash": "ab918d488b70d37dc0c3becfca303901",
        "evidence_ref": "523359d8d4d6776cd567e6b6d742e58bacf93d320c6a0a6ec2102d8bd07d2d6e",
        "underlying_record_key": "N217TA::TA3571",
        "horizon_start": "2026-05-24T00:00:00",
        "horizon_end": "2026-05-25T00:00:00"
      }
    ],
    "total_attributed_usd": "13117.99",
    "coverage_pct": 1.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.400956"
}
decision_id: e84d5c2f-62ef-42df-8c07-01368c3c9696 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair

S3 · RM Strategic (7 flagged of 7 total)

S3 Fence redesign: MCO-LGA corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
MCO-LGA: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.16x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~2384bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $428/pax vs leisure $198 (ratio 2.16x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +2384bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$1,573,562
1y
1.66

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$1,573,562 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign MCO-LGA to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$472,069 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "7af4a50c-3fbe-465e-8d1c-e5965d421fac",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "MCO",
  "destination": "LGA",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: MCO-LGA corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $428/pax vs leisure $198 (ratio 2.16x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +2384bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "1573562.15722195990383625030517578125",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1573562.15722196
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign MCO-LGA to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 472068.64716658794
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.6597089695518807,
  "narrative": "MCO-LGA: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.16x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~2384bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "7af4a50c-3fbe-465e-8d1c-e5965d421fac",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480584"
}
decision_id: 7af4a50c-3fbe-465e-8d1c-e5965d421fac constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: MIA-JFK corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
MIA-JFK: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.17x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~2310bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $430/pax vs leisure $198 (ratio 2.17x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +2310bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$1,114,360
1y
1.53

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$1,114,360 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign MIA-JFK to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$334,308 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "a9ce2720-4199-4a41-9138-63dc5512bf35",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "MIA",
  "destination": "JFK",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: MIA-JFK corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $430/pax vs leisure $198 (ratio 2.17x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +2310bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "1114360.1516778417862951755523681640625",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1114360.1516778418
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign MIA-JFK to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 334308.04550335254
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 1.5291153823542958,
  "narrative": "MIA-JFK: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.17x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~2310bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "a9ce2720-4199-4a41-9138-63dc5512bf35",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480714"
}
decision_id: a9ce2720-4199-4a41-9138-63dc5512bf35 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: JFK-LAX corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
JFK-LAX: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.27x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1794bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $652/pax vs leisure $288 (ratio 2.27x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1794bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$1,375,682
1y
0.58

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$1,375,682 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign JFK-LAX to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$412,704 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "6ee9b218-b983-41bc-8066-3b2665e9fc5a",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "JFK",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: JFK-LAX corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $652/pax vs leisure $288 (ratio 2.27x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1794bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "1375681.556469756178557872772216796875",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1375681.5564697562
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign JFK-LAX to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 412704.46694092685
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 0.5786830727128534,
  "narrative": "JFK-LAX: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.27x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1794bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "6ee9b218-b983-41bc-8066-3b2665e9fc5a",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480770"
}
decision_id: 6ee9b218-b983-41bc-8066-3b2665e9fc5a constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: DFW-LAX corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
DFW-LAX: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.29x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1683bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $474/pax vs leisure $207 (ratio 2.29x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1683bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$673,158
1y
0.36

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$673,158 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign DFW-LAX to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$201,947 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "3b1982b9-6019-44a1-8e62-2c118b422231",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "DFW",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: DFW-LAX corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $474/pax vs leisure $207 (ratio 2.29x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1683bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "673157.803752141422592103481292724609375",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 673157.8037521414
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign DFW-LAX to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 201947.34112564242
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 0.3645262624961587,
  "narrative": "DFW-LAX: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.29x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1683bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "3b1982b9-6019-44a1-8e62-2c118b422231",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480821"
}
decision_id: 3b1982b9-6019-44a1-8e62-2c118b422231 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: LGA-ORD corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
LGA-ORD: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.31x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1593bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $403/pax vs leisure $175 (ratio 2.31x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1593bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$612,550
1y
0.19

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$612,550 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign LGA-ORD to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$183,765 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "77d71529-cba3-48bf-8261-6b9898c56c04",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "LGA",
  "destination": "ORD",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: LGA-ORD corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $403/pax vs leisure $175 (ratio 2.31x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1593bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "612550.050626557436771690845489501953125",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 612550.0506265574
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign LGA-ORD to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 183765.01518796722
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 0.18626889614153708,
  "narrative": "LGA-ORD: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.31x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1593bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "77d71529-cba3-48bf-8261-6b9898c56c04",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480870"
}
decision_id: 77d71529-cba3-48bf-8261-6b9898c56c04 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: SEA-JFK corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
SEA-JFK: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.31x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1584bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $614/pax vs leisure $266 (ratio 2.31x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1584bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$294,068
1y
0.17

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$294,068 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign SEA-JFK to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$88,220 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "64497c55-c1b7-40ae-b678-a4221111ccc7",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "SEA",
  "destination": "JFK",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: SEA-JFK corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $614/pax vs leisure $266 (ratio 2.31x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1584bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "294067.6395989800803363323211669921875",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 294067.6395989801
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign SEA-JFK to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 88220.29187969402
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 0.16913848543441468,
  "narrative": "SEA-JFK: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.31x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1584bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "64497c55-c1b7-40ae-b678-a4221111ccc7",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480915"
}
decision_id: 64497c55-c1b7-40ae-b678-a4221111ccc7 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S3 Fence redesign: JFK-LHR corporate RMCoordinator 2026-05-24
JFK-LHR: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.32x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1526bp yield uplift).

Corporate yield $779/pax vs leisure $336 (ratio 2.32x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1526bp yield estimated.

RM Strategic
+$2,234,223
1y
0.05

Recommended levers

fence redesign
Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty
+$2,234,223 estimated
cluster reassignment
Reassign JFK-LHR to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price
+$670,267 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "10ee7546-114d-43d0-b8bc-083465d629a2",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S3",
  "coordinator_name": "RMCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "JFK",
  "destination": "LHR",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fence redesign: JFK-LHR corporate",
  "summary": "Corporate yield $779/pax vs leisure $336 (ratio 2.32x). Network median 2.33x. Tighten fence; +1526bp yield estimated.",
  "impact_usd": "2234223.331725775264203548431396484375",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fence_redesign",
      "detail": "Move corporate advance-purchase from 7d → 3d; tighten ticket-change penalty",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 2234223.3317257753
    },
    {
      "type": "cluster_reassignment",
      "detail": "Reassign JFK-LHR to high-touch corporate cluster; rerate against PROS bid-price",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 670266.9995177325
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 0.05160013118497897,
  "narrative": "JFK-LHR: corporate-vs-leisure ratio 2.32x is below network median 2.33x. Strategic fence redesign opportunity (~1526bp yield uplift).",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "10ee7546-114d-43d0-b8bc-083465d629a2",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.480967"
}
decision_id: 10ee7546-114d-43d0-b8bc-083465d629a2 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair

S4 · Cargo Strategic (3 flagged of 3 total)

S4 Cargo yield recalibration: ATL-MIA CargoCoordinator 2026-05-24
ATL-MIA: cargo yield 62% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.

Cargo yield $0.23/ton-mile is 62% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.

Cargo Strategic
+$348,194
1y
61.54

Recommended levers

yield curve recalibration
Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling
+$348,194 estimated
commodity mix shift
Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D
+$139,277 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "dec36b0b-b53b-4206-9524-a5a4114511df",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S4",
  "coordinator_name": "CargoCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "ATL",
  "destination": "MIA",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Cargo yield recalibration: ATL-MIA",
  "summary": "Cargo yield $0.23/ton-mile is 62% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.",
  "impact_usd": "348193.7322734100162051618099212646484375",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "yield_curve_recalibration",
      "detail": "Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 348193.73227341
    },
    {
      "type": "commodity_mix_shift",
      "detail": "Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 139277.49290936402
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 61.542718812518,
  "narrative": "ATL-MIA: cargo yield 62% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "dec36b0b-b53b-4206-9524-a5a4114511df",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.562497"
}
decision_id: dec36b0b-b53b-4206-9524-a5a4114511df constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S4 Cargo yield recalibration: PHX-DEN CargoCoordinator 2026-05-24
PHX-DEN: cargo yield 55% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.

Cargo yield $0.27/ton-mile is 55% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.

Cargo Strategic
+$343,335
1y
55.41

Recommended levers

yield curve recalibration
Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling
+$343,335 estimated
commodity mix shift
Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D
+$137,334 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "c59bb0bb-aa19-4bf1-b726-9fac44b2387b",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S4",
  "coordinator_name": "CargoCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "PHX",
  "destination": "DEN",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Cargo yield recalibration: PHX-DEN",
  "summary": "Cargo yield $0.27/ton-mile is 55% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.",
  "impact_usd": "343335.47099132579751312732696533203125",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "yield_curve_recalibration",
      "detail": "Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 343335.4709913258
    },
    {
      "type": "commodity_mix_shift",
      "detail": "Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 137334.1883965303
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 55.40715639563783,
  "narrative": "PHX-DEN: cargo yield 55% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "c59bb0bb-aa19-4bf1-b726-9fac44b2387b",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.562614"
}
decision_id: c59bb0bb-aa19-4bf1-b726-9fac44b2387b constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S4 Cargo yield recalibration: ORD-DFW CargoCoordinator 2026-05-24
ORD-DFW: cargo yield 54% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.

Cargo yield $0.27/ton-mile is 54% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.

Cargo Strategic
+$438,809
1y
54.29

Recommended levers

yield curve recalibration
Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling
+$438,809 estimated
commodity mix shift
Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D
+$175,524 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "72f6b031-4e82-4daf-8898-949f13c5e9d0",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S4",
  "coordinator_name": "CargoCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "ORD",
  "destination": "DFW",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Cargo yield recalibration: ORD-DFW",
  "summary": "Cargo yield $0.27/ton-mile is 54% below network mean $0.60. Recalibrate floor with belly-vs-pax-capacity rebalance.",
  "impact_usd": "438809.2098128547077067196369171142578125",
  "horizon_years": 1,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "yield_curve_recalibration",
      "detail": "Lift floor rate +12%; rebalance belly capacity vs pax-capacity coupling",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 438809.2098128547
    },
    {
      "type": "commodity_mix_shift",
      "detail": "Shift commodity mix toward PHARMA + PERISHABLE on this O&D",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 175523.6839251419
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 54.29120778502483,
  "narrative": "ORD-DFW: cargo yield 54% below network. Strategic recalibration with iCargo-Sim write-back.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "72f6b031-4e82-4daf-8898-949f13c5e9d0",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.562662"
}
decision_id: 72f6b031-4e82-4daf-8898-949f13c5e9d0 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair

S5 · Fleet Strategy (3 flagged of 3 total)

S5 Fleet retirement candidate: B737-800 FleetCoordinator 2026-05-24
B737-800: 48% under-performer. 5y NPV of retirement $1282.2M positive.

B737-800 avg margin $14,542/cycle is 48% below network mean $28,142. 63 cycles in window.

Fleet Strategy
+$1,282,173,996
5y
4.83

Recommended levers

fleet retirement
Retire B737-800 over 24 months; redeploy crew to A321neo / B737-MAX8 base
+$1,282,173,996 estimated
lessor negotiation
Trigger early-return clauses on B737-800 leases
+$192,326,099 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "c5f5aaad-3018-4cb2-8707-0e891d09bb74",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S5",
  "coordinator_name": "FleetCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "",
  "destination": "",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fleet retirement candidate: B737-800",
  "summary": "B737-800 avg margin $14,542/cycle is 48% below network mean $28,142. 63 cycles in window.",
  "impact_usd": "1282173996.296453952789306640625",
  "horizon_years": 5,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fleet_retirement",
      "detail": "Retire B737-800 over 24 months; redeploy crew to A321neo / B737-MAX8 base",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1282173996.296454
    },
    {
      "type": "lessor_negotiation",
      "detail": "Trigger early-return clauses on B737-800 leases",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 192326099.44446808
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 4.832611770510697,
  "narrative": "B737-800: 48% under-performer. 5y NPV of retirement $1282.2M positive.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "c5f5aaad-3018-4cb2-8707-0e891d09bb74",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.601885"
}
decision_id: c5f5aaad-3018-4cb2-8707-0e891d09bb74 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S5 Fleet retirement candidate: A320-200 FleetCoordinator 2026-05-24
A320-200: 48% under-performer. 5y NPV of retirement $1394.6M positive.

A320-200 avg margin $14,635/cycle is 48% below network mean $28,142. 69 cycles in window.

Fleet Strategy
+$1,394,638,578
5y
4.80

Recommended levers

fleet retirement
Retire A320-200 over 24 months; redeploy crew to A321neo / B737-MAX8 base
+$1,394,638,578 estimated
lessor negotiation
Trigger early-return clauses on A320-200 leases
+$209,195,787 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "b159c414-ece6-445d-8de7-4b98d2a368bb",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S5",
  "coordinator_name": "FleetCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "",
  "destination": "",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fleet retirement candidate: A320-200",
  "summary": "A320-200 avg margin $14,635/cycle is 48% below network mean $28,142. 69 cycles in window.",
  "impact_usd": "1394638577.5982592105865478515625",
  "horizon_years": 5,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "fleet_retirement",
      "detail": "Retire A320-200 over 24 months; redeploy crew to A321neo / B737-MAX8 base",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 1394638577.5982592
    },
    {
      "type": "lessor_negotiation",
      "detail": "Trigger early-return clauses on A320-200 leases",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 209195786.6397389
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 4.799412469647305,
  "narrative": "A320-200: 48% under-performer. 5y NPV of retirement $1394.6M positive.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "b159c414-ece6-445d-8de7-4b98d2a368bb",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.602004"
}
decision_id: b159c414-ece6-445d-8de7-4b98d2a368bb constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S5 Fleet expansion candidate: B787-9 FleetCoordinator 2026-05-24
B787-9: strong network performer. 5y NPV of +8 frames $914.3M.

B787-9 avg margin $50,770/cycle is +80% vs network. Recommend OEM bid evaluation.

Fleet Strategy
+$914,324,354
5y
4.02

Recommended levers

oem bid evaluation
Initiate OEM bid for 8 B787-9 delivery 2027-2028
+$914,324,354 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "996be9a3-3f21-4a0d-bb13-4cb21110b9e0",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S5",
  "coordinator_name": "FleetCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "",
  "destination": "",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Fleet expansion candidate: B787-9",
  "summary": "B787-9 avg margin $50,770/cycle is +80% vs network. Recommend OEM bid evaluation.",
  "impact_usd": "914324353.58937680721282958984375",
  "horizon_years": 5,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "oem_bid_evaluation",
      "detail": "Initiate OEM bid for 8 B787-9 delivery 2027-2028",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 914324353.5893768
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 4.020518083854102,
  "narrative": "B787-9: strong network performer. 5y NPV of +8 frames $914.3M.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "996be9a3-3f21-4a0d-bb13-4cb21110b9e0",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.601966"
}
decision_id: 996be9a3-3f21-4a0d-bb13-4cb21110b9e0 constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair

S6 · Network Strategy (2 flagged of 2 total)

S6 Network expansion candidate: DEN-LAX NetworkCoordinator 2026-05-24
DEN-LAX: strong contributor. NPV of +1 daily frequency $44.5M over 5y.

DEN-LAX avg margin $49,606 is +79% vs network. Recommend +1 daily frequency.

Network Strategy
+$44,541,104
5y
3.97

Recommended levers

frequency add
Add 1 daily DEN-LAX frequency; coordinate with RM bid-price ceiling
+$44,541,104 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "94071e37-3d54-4394-b603-26fb80f5f37b",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S6",
  "coordinator_name": "NetworkCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "DEN",
  "destination": "LAX",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Network expansion candidate: DEN-LAX",
  "summary": "DEN-LAX avg margin $49,606 is +79% vs network. Recommend +1 daily frequency.",
  "impact_usd": "44541103.80670587718486785888671875",
  "horizon_years": 5,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "frequency_add",
      "detail": "Add 1 daily DEN-LAX frequency; coordinate with RM bid-price ceiling",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 44541103.80670588
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 3.968477210657771,
  "narrative": "DEN-LAX: strong contributor. NPV of +1 daily frequency $44.5M over 5y.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "94071e37-3d54-4394-b603-26fb80f5f37b",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.641878"
}
decision_id: 94071e37-3d54-4394-b603-26fb80f5f37b constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair
S6 Network expansion candidate: ATL-MIA NetworkCoordinator 2026-05-24
ATL-MIA: strong contributor. NPV of +1 daily frequency $37.3M over 5y.

ATL-MIA avg margin $41,486 is +50% vs network. Recommend +1 daily frequency.

Network Strategy
+$37,250,176
5y
2.50

Recommended levers

frequency add
Add 1 daily ATL-MIA frequency; coordinate with RM bid-price ceiling
+$37,250,176 estimated
↳ Raw artifact JSON (replayable)
{
  "id": "6a9a4058-1d3b-435c-bb63-ccd6762b337a",
  "tenant_id": "tenant::testair",
  "surface_id": "S6",
  "coordinator_name": "NetworkCoordinator",
  "flight_date": "2026-05-24",
  "flight_number": "",
  "origin": "ATL",
  "destination": "MIA",
  "tail_number": "",
  "forecast_margin_usd": "0",
  "actual_margin_usd": "0",
  "deviation_sigma": 0.0,
  "title": "Network expansion candidate: ATL-MIA",
  "summary": "ATL-MIA avg margin $41,486 is +50% vs network. Recommend +1 daily frequency.",
  "impact_usd": "37250175.92771427333354949951171875",
  "horizon_years": 5,
  "levers": [
    {
      "type": "frequency_add",
      "detail": "Add 1 daily ATL-MIA frequency; coordinate with RM bid-price ceiling",
      "estimated_impact_usd": 37250175.92771427
    }
  ],
  "flagged": true,
  "anomaly_score": 2.5004282639803197,
  "narrative": "ATL-MIA: strong contributor. NPV of +1 daily frequency $37.3M over 5y.",
  "pal": {
    "decision_id": "6a9a4058-1d3b-435c-bb63-ccd6762b337a",
    "lines": [],
    "total_attributed_usd": "0",
    "coverage_pct": 0.0,
    "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
    "dedup_check_passed": true
  },
  "constitution_version": "v0.1-demo",
  "scenario_id": null,
  "parent_decision_id": null,
  "created_at": "2026-05-25T18:06:25.641777"
}
decision_id: 6a9a4058-1d3b-435c-bb63-ccd6762b337a constitution: v0.1-demo tenant: tenant::testair